Trump can't make all the rules

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When I was a child, the kids from our street used to go into the fields at the end of the road and play commandos. Well, it was the 1950s, and ‘the war’ might not have been a memory for us, but it was still fresh to our parents’ generation. It was a game which would often dissolve into acrimony as debate raged over whether one or other of us was ‘taking his shots’; a debate in essence as to whether the imaginary bullet had hit or missed its target. Even the world’s best ballistics expert would have been unable to answer the question – tracing the trajectory of an imaginary bullet fired from an imaginary gun is no simple matter. And we didn’t have such an expert on hand anyway.

It was a childish debate, of course – but then we were children and children are allowed to be childish. But it seems to me that Trump – a man-child if ever there was one – has got to a similar stage in his war against Iran: the Iranians are just not taking their shots. He believes that he has ‘won’, but the loser is declining to oblige him by meekly accepting defeat. Six decades ago, we children learnt that no matter how determined any one of us might have been to set his or her own rules for the game, it only worked as long as the rest of us agreed to be rule-takers. It's not a lesson that everyone learns.

Trump has lived his entire life believing that he alone sets the rules, and that rules set by others can be ignored. Mostly, he’s had that stance validated by the behaviour of others, even if that behaviour has been the result of threats, bullying and aggressive law suits which many of his targets have chosen to settle rather than drag out at huge cost. And now he’s got himself into the most powerful position on the planet, with huge resources of weaponry at his disposal, and he’s encountering more push-back than he’s ever encountered before. Iran might be the bloodiest and most obvious source at present, but it’s also increasingly coming from other governments, which he sees as vassals, declining to prostrate themselves before him and do his bidding without question.

His instinctive reaction has been to fall back on the learned behaviour which has served him so well in the past – turn up the volume on the threats, insults and bullying. If – when – that doesn’t work, what will he do next? The world’s best hope is that he falls back on his other standard ploy: lie and claim victory. Repeatedly. Whether the other players will let him off the hook so easily remains to be seen. Not taking their shots can be habit-forming.