There have been reports that UK Ministers are
planning to change the planning rules around pubs in order to make it harder to
close them, with developers to be required to prove that there is no reasonable
prospect of keeping a pub afloat before a change of use can be considered. Talking
of the causes of pub closures, the Guardian says
“Pub and restaurant bosses have blamed the employer national insurance
increase, the higher minimum wage and food price inflation as well as high
business rates”, the BBC blames “taxes
and employment costs”, whilst the Sunday Times (paywall) says
the closures are “largely as a result of rising costs from the increased
rate of employers’ national insurance contributions … and high VAT and business
rates”.
It’s true, of course, that if the costs of a business
increase, it can be harder to keep that business viable without an increase in
prices. That’s just Economics 101. The corollary is that if one element of
those costs could be reduced whilst leaving all other factors unchanged, then
the business will become more profitable. So, if the government stopped
collecting taxes on pubs, those pubs would become more profitable. But it’s
equally true that those same pubs would become more profitable if the breweries
stopped charging them for beer, or the wholesalers stopped charging them for
food. Taxes are just one element of the costs of a business, rather than some
sort of special extra cost. The bottom line isn’t that taxes are causing pubs
to shut, it is that the demand for the services of those pubs at the prices
required to make a profit is insufficient. And the ‘rules’ of capitalism tell
us that a business which cannot sell its wares at a price which enables it to
cover its costs and make a reasonable profit is a non-viable business, which should
close, with the demand then concentrated on a smaller number of businesses.
I wouldn’t actually advocate that – pubs perform
useful social functions particularly in rural communities and there may be good
reasons for subsidies or other forms of assistance to keep them open.
The point, though, is that blaming taxes tells us
more about the ideological stance of those making the claim than about the
economics of the pubs sector. Successful businesses depend on a supply of
suitable trained and educated workers; they depend on those workers being
healthy and fit for work; they depend on the infrastructure required to get
their supplies delivered and the customers to their door. What, exactly, is the
argument that those are not in themselves business costs, even if indirect? And a business which cannot pay its employees a living wage has no basis for remaining open anyway.
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