I tend to agree
with Alun Davies
that “People would be happy to vote for a
penny on income tax to help fund the Welsh NHS”; opinion polls have
consistently suggested that there is a general willingness to pay more tax in
order to have a properly-funded NHS (although there is also some evidence that that doesn't always translate into a willingness to vote for a party which proposes exactly that). But
the ‘conclusion’ which he, like several other politicians before him, has drawn
(some sort of hypothecated tax increase specifically for the NHS) is one of the
daftest and most unworkable policies ever suggested.
Firstly, a
hypothecated tax which only pays for part of the NHS does not protect the NHS
from cuts. Future governments can always
point to the extra revenue from the ‘new’ tax and say that the whole of ‘that
revenue’ is still going into the NHS, but it can only be ‘extra’ if the whole
of the previous budget is protected in real terms for the indefinite
future. And that represents a tying of
government hands to which no government
could or should ever agree, as well as potentially fossilising the way in which
funds are spent from that original budget.
But secondly, and
more importantly, far from being the radical approach claimed, it is in fact an
acceptance of the basic premise of ‘austerity’, which is that government spending
depends on first raising funds through taxation. The blind acceptance of that mantra is what
leads the Labour Party in general to a position in which its argument is, in effect,
that Labour austerity will be kinder and fairer than Tory austerity; it does
not expose the premise of the policy for the lie that it is.
In fairness, of
course, the situation in Wales is different.
As a non-sovereign devolved parliament, the Assembly is obliged to
produce a balanced budget, in the same way as the local authorities to which it
is equivalent in this sense. Without the
powers of a sovereign government, the Assembly cannot break free of austerity –
the best it can do is to “ameliorate Tory
policy” – exactly what Alun is arguing that Labour should not be
doing. The really radical argument would
be to demand that Wales break free of those constraints which ‘devolution’
places on it. I remember another Alun Davies
who used to argue along similar lines – I wonder what became of him?