There is nothing
at all unreasonable about a departing member of any organization arguing about
the legal basis on which outstanding debts should be settled. Money is either owed or it isn’t, and there
is little doubt in my mind that the EU27 have a reasonable basis for demanding
that the UK meet the obligations to which the country has committed. I’m equally clear that the UK can, if it
wishes – and this is what the extreme Brexiteers are saying, simply renege on
previously-made commitments and walk away, although I don’t share their
optimism that those left with a hole in their budgets will simply shrug their
shoulders and place their trust in any commitments that the UK Government makes
in the future.
I doubt, though,
that many of us would find our banks terribly understanding if we went to them
and said, in effect, “We’ll offer to pay
you part of what we previously committed to pay you, but only on condition that
you allow us to dictate the terms under which we’ll bank with you in future”. That, though, seems to be roughly the position
of the UK Government in relation to settling debts with the EU. In fairness, it is an approach that most of
the extremely wealthy individuals and the biggest multinational companies would
recognise, because it is precisely the approach which the UK Government adopts
when it comes to taxing the rich and powerful.
They are allowed to pluck a figure out of the air, negotiate around it
and arrive at a settlement under which they pay as much as they agree to pay,
regardless of their actual tax liability, basically because that makes things
easier for HMRC than having to go through all the bother of making a proper assessment. So I can see why ministers might believe that
it can work, although I’m far from certain that the EU27 will roll over as
easily as HM Treasury does.
Underlying all
this is that, instead of trying to debate and agree what the UK actually owes
by considering the elements of the ‘bill’ carefully and reasonably, the UK
government – egged on by a media which has little interest in facts or details
– is obsessing over the total sum, and trying to create a spurious link between
meeting agreed obligations on the one hand and demanding favourable future
treatment on the other. And they wonder
why the EU27 are losing patience with them.
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