There have been
suggestions in the past that Scotland could overcome the Labour-Tory Westminster
blockage of a new referendum on independence if an election resulted in a
majority for independence in the Scottish Parliament and that parliament then
declared Scotland to be an independent country. There is no legal requirement
for a referendum before independence; many of the UK’s former colonies never
bothered with such niceties. Some fought for their independence, others negotiated
for it, some (perhaps most notably the USA) simply declared themselves
independent. But one of the most important tests of whether a country can become independent without the consent of the state currently in control is the
question of international recognition. A declaration of independence which no
other state recognised could turn out to be pretty meaningless, leaving the
administration unable to trade effectively or make any other sort of
international agreements, which is a major reason for the SNP having avoided
trying it to date.
Sir Starmer is right
to understand the importance of international recognition in the process of
establishing a Palestinian state, and were the other essentials of statehood in
place, it would be a powerful step to take. The problem is that they are not –
and Israel is in the process of making sure that their absence is as irrevocable
as possible. Between clearing large parts of Gaza of its population, and
encouraging settlers to force Palestinians from their land in the West Bank,
there are no longer any clear boundaries for a Palestinian State. There may be
internationally agreed lines on a map, but they are largely meaningless. Nor is
there much by way of a functioning administration, which could be recognised as the ‘government’ of the new state, in large parts of the territory.
Recognition is
symbolic, but of little real effect compared to the other steps that the UK
could take in terms of sanctions and cessation of military exports. And delayed
recognition is even less effective – merely giving the Israeli government a
clear timeline in which it needs to complete the elimination of any viable Palestinian
state. But then, symbolism is probably all Sir Starmer really wants: the
appearance of action without making any real difference. In fact, that phrase (“the
appearance of action without making any real difference”) could well come to be
the defining characteristic of Starmer’s Labour. And not just in relation to
Palestine.
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