The
complexities of Brexit negotiations are enormous, and the available time
tightly limited. As plenty have already
noted, the theoretical 24 months reduces to 18 when we take out the necessary
time for all the relevant governments and bodies to debate and approve any
package. What better way could there be
to start that narrow 18 month window by taking 2 months out to fight a general
election? The logic is impeccable to all
residents of planet Zog, who obviously understand these things better than I.
The
claim is that this election is necessary because all of those horrid non-Tory
MPs are failing to vote in accordance with the Tory whip, and some of them are
even daring to pretend to oppose the government. I know that it’s dangerous to take anything
said by any politician at face value, but just suppose for a moment that she actually believes it to be
true that the people of the UK are uniting behind her vision of Brexit whilst opposition
MPs are trying to undermine her (what a novel thing for an opposition to try and do, eh?).
Clearly,
if every single one of those opposition MPs lines up against her Tories, they
can defeat her government and maybe even influence the nature of Brexit.
Oh, wait a minute – no they can’t.
Mathematics is clearly not her strongest suit, but to the mathematically less-challenged she does actually have an
absolute majority over every one else combined.
Unless of course, some of her own side decide to vote with the
opposition on a particular issue, and – dare I say it – try and stick to the
manifesto on which they were elected. With, I think, one solitary exception, they haven’t actually done that yet, but some of them have muttered a bit
about maybe possibly doing it as the details become clearer.
Her
only fear of losing a vote in the House of Commons is if she fails to carry her
own party; and that in turn means that defeating and marginalising any waverers
in her own party is the only interpretation of her stated reasoning which makes
any sense. I can see why she’d want to
do that; she is currently faced with two minority groupings in her own party:
the Brexit-at-any-cost head-bangers and the this-is-an-act-of-self-harm
remainers. It
means, however, that the election, like the referendum before it, is really all about the
internal problems of one party rather than about the interests of the UK. I
can certainly understand why she would want to marginalise those groups. And I can even agree that marginalising them
might make it easier for her to negotiate (although she’s already conceded the
most important points anyway). But it’s
more than a little dishonest to try and blame a largely dysfunctional opposition
for problems which are a lot closer to home.
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