A lot of the coverage of Labour’s
manifesto has concentrated on the question of affordability. Where, people ask, will all the money come
from? It is fundamentally the wrong
question to be asking. As Professor Richard
Murphy explains succinctly here,
a government in control of its own currency can always afford to do whatever it
wants to do; the question is whether, when, and how the money subsequently
needs to be recovered from the economy.
The distinction between finding the money in advance and recovering it
after the event may look a small one, but it’s key to understanding the way
government finances work – spending always precedes taxation, and spending
creates economic growth and jobs.
More importantly for me is the question
about how practicable the Labour manifesto is.
There’s much with which I’d agree (although why, oh why, did they feel
the need to throw in support for Wylfa Newydd?), but it’s a highly ambitious
program which will not only require a huge amount of legislation to be passed
through Parliament, but also a huge amount of energy and time to implement on
the ground. I seriously doubt that a
government – any government, even a highly competent one – could do all that in the short timescale
apparently being promised, even if it hadn’t already committed itself to
spending at least the first six months preoccupied with Brexit. That’s a minimum of 10% of the parliament
gone before they could even start on the other stuff. It’s not that any of what they promise isn’t
do-able (and affordable!) in itself; it’s rather a question of whether anyone
can really change as much as that as quickly as that. It left me with the impression that they are
happy to promise the earth knowing that it’s unlikely they’ll be called on to
deliver.
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