The
military mind, to the extent to which that phrase is not an oxymoron, is a
strange beast. It sees threats on all sides from people who want to invade and
conquer, and the solution is always the same – more military hardware and personnel.
To dismiss the conclusions of that strange beast is not the same as denying
that there is any threat, it’s more that the threats aren’t the ones they want
us to believe in. It’s true, of course, that some dictators actually want to
expand the territories over which they rule – Russia’s dictator probably has eyes
on more of his neighbours, although he’s almost certainly not mad enough to
have learnt nothing from his costly behaviour in Ukraine. The USA’s dictator
probably is mad enough to learn nothing from anything he does, and he too has
designs on neighbouring territories.
There
is, though, no serious threat from anywhere to invade the UK, and there is no
country in the world which has enough resources to carry out a successful
invasion and then to control and rule the territory afterwards. That particular
threat is completely illusory – and it’s worth noting that there is little in
the UK’s current military posture which is actually geared to prevent or resist
a land invasion anyway. The threats are more subtle than that, and more guns
and bombs will do little to prevent them. The question we should always be
asking is why, exactly, would anyone want to attack the UK, and the only
rational answer to that question is that they might be led to believe that the
UK might otherwise attack them. Defence, in that context, implies an understanding
of what might look to others like a threat and considering how to avoid that
perception. As Simon Jenkins put
it in the Guardian this morning in relation to China, soft power is more
important than military power and “It is therefore absurd that the British
government is planning to splurge billions more on defending Britain from a
purely notional third world war [while] slashing the budget of its overseas
cultural institution”.
There
is another question which we should be asking ourselves, which was provoked by,
even if it wasn’t quite the intention, the words of a retired general who said
this week that we should reduce welfare spending to devote more resources to
the military; and that question is very simple – who or what is it we are
trying to defend? Reducing the spending power of the poorest in society to spend
more on weaponry – clearly the implication of his words – means that he sees
keeping some people in poverty as a price worth paying to defend us against his
imagined threats. It illustrates clearly a dramatic difference in priorities.
The problem we face is that most of our politicians seem to agree with him in
principle – it’s guns before butter
all over again.

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