Two days ago, the CBI warned
us that Labour’s nationalisation plans would cost taxpayers around £200bn, as
well as ongoing costs for such things as maintenance and development of the
infrastructure. Labour’s response, accusing
the CBI of "incoherent scaremongering" was, I thought, being
rather too kind on the CBI; one would really expect those at the top of UK industry
to have a rather better grasp of economics than this. Richard
Murphy has explained very well why the CBI’s statement is utter nonsense –
buying assets doesn’t increase total net debt and borrowing money to purchase
revenue-producing assets can actually reduce net debt charges.
It’s not often that I agree with the
Institute for Fiscal Studies, but their comment that "Economically what
matters is whether these assets would be better managed by the public or the
private sector" seems to me to hit the nail on the head. And the real problem with Labour’s proposals
is that the history of nationalised industries in the UK has not been a happy
one. Interference and micro-management
from Whitehall have often meant that potentially profitable industries have
ended up making losses and become a drain on public finance rather than a
contributor to them, and their productivity record has often been poor. The record of ministers and civil servants
when it comes to running businesses leaves, shall we say, a lot to be desired. Things don’t have to be that way, however. Nationalised industries can be and often are successful
elsewhere; the UK’s past experience isn’t an inevitable determinant of future
prospects.
There are also some non-economic arguments
about whether certain industries – particularly those which one might regard as
‘natural monopolies’ – should be run as public services for the benefit of all,
or as private enterprises for the benefit of shareholders. Apparently ‘profitable’ rail services are
only ‘profitable’ because they receive public subsidy – in essence, those
subsidies end up paying dividends to shareholders. It is entirely reasonable to question whether
that is the best way of spending the public money which goes into the railway
network.
The real cost with Labour’s
nationalisation proposals isn’t the cost of purchase itself, it is any
additional costs incurred after nationalisation as a result of introducing a
different business model. Sticking with
the railways as an example, a political decision to prioritise increasing
capacity and reducing prices to encourage passengers to shift from road to rail
would lead undoubtedly to a net increase in ongoing government expenditure. Whether (or rather, to what extent) that
would be matched by corresponding savings elsewhere (for instance on roads), or
less easily quantifiable benefits such as environmental improvements, is a
difficult question to answer. It is not,
though, primarily an economic debate at all – it is a political debate about
priorities and the sort of society in which we wish to live. The CBI’s headline about an “eye-watering”
price is a diversion from the entirely proper debate about alternative
approaches, as well as being incoherent in its own terms.
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