Some Tory MPs, including failed leadership
candidate Dominic Raab, have been arguing
in recent days that it will be “the EU’s fault” if the UK walks away
without a deal at the end of October. It
sounds a bit like the playground argument that ‘some big boys made me do it,
Miss’, a level of argument wholly appropriate to the farce of the Tory Donkey
Derby.
But in principle, he does have a point –
if someone is refusing to accept a reasonable argument, then they are at least
partly responsible for what happens as a consequence. My problem, though, is understanding exactly
which bit of ‘we demand that you bend the rules of the single market to suit
us, give us rights not enjoyed by member states to negotiate separate deals,
and open up an uncontrolled back door into the single market in Ireland’ he
considers to be reasonable.
Meanwhile the man who made the bizarre claim
that he makes and paints model buses out of old wine crates (in what looks like
an attempt to find out just how gullible his target electorate – the Tory membership
- is) has displayed his mathematical ‘prowess’ by stating that setting a firm
and immovable target for leaving, whether there is a deal or not, somehow makes
the odds of leaving without a deal a
million to one against. This is
tantamount to claiming that the odds of an EU27 which has consistently said
that the withdrawal deal cannot be negotiated agreeing to cave in and make
changes after all are 999,999 to 1 on.
One possible explanation is that he’s
actually realised just what a task he has in front of him and is now trying to
lose; it would be a better explanation of some of his recent statements than
that he’s making a serious attempt to win.
It might also suggest that he’s not quite as irrational as he appears. The problem with this approach, however, is
that he is seriously underestimating the gullibility of that target electorate. He’ll have to come up with something much
more bizarre than he’s managed to date if he really wants to lose.
1 comment:
Might be a nod towards Terry Pratchett's "it's a million-to-one chance, but it might just work!". Not good news if so.
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