tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4411161795798360588.post7014311445207660593..comments2024-03-26T09:38:39.888+00:00Comments on Borthlas: Interpreting the pollsJohn Dixonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07447224248021209852noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4411161795798360588.post-14694781255970076872008-06-02T15:25:00.000+01:002008-06-02T15:25:00.000+01:00Draig,With a majority of the size they have in Par...Draig,<BR/><BR/>With a majority of the size they have in Parliament, no particular external crisis will, of itself, bring them down. The only thing that will topple the government before the next election will be the actions of Labour MPs themselves. Whilst there are signs that some of them are starting to panic, it would take a much more widespread outbreak of panic than we are yet seeing.<BR/><BR/>But I agree with your comments on the current settlement. There is a serious and growing danger that the slow pace at which we are moving towards a referendum in Wales simply fails to take account of the way in which politics is moving in England.John Dixonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07447224248021209852noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4411161795798360588.post-63804541564622111172008-06-01T15:55:00.000+01:002008-06-01T15:55:00.000+01:00I have to be honest, the Tory figures don't fit wi...I have to be honest, the Tory figures don't fit with my perception either. I tend to associate the Tory vote with English retirees who have moved here, although that's obviously not exclusively the case.<BR/><BR/> What worries me is that the Crewe and Nantwich was not a blip, and the Tories are going to win big come the next election. We are in the middle of a rapidly developing energy crisis and it is gradually going to destabilise the incumbent administration - and maybe even topple it. Will Labour last till 2010? I'm not so sure.<BR/><BR/> In simple terms, we could end up with the "promise" of a referendum on law-making powers made in Cardiff, set against a huge Tory mandate in London. The current constitutional settlement, embodied in the Government of W ales Act 2006, is a mess, drafted on the arrogant assumption that Labour would be in power for a long time yet. <BR/><BR/>Who thinks that now?Draighttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01816626923689138393noreply@blogger.com